December 5, 2013 by dixwah
I know I tipped England to win in Brisbane, and I’m probably leaning that way again, but a fair bit’s changed.
Tim Bresnan coming in is a plus, although he’s possibly underdone, but the onus is surely on England’s batsmen. Two scores of under 180 at the ‘Gabba is the damning detail.
Jon Trott obviously left town, and though he hadn’t put up his usual big numbers in the Ashes Tests this year, the England batting, dominant at home, looks reasonably brittle here by comparison.
Enter Adelaide Oval.
Martin Crowe’s famous quote can probably be amended with the current Australian crowd trend:
There are four certainties in life: Death, taxes, a century at the Adelaide Oval, and those ridiculously long beer cup snakes at Australian cricket grounds.
I think it’s the sort of track Shane Watson – yes, and maybe even George Bailey – can score big runs on.
Ditto Cook and Pietersen.
For me, the toss is crucial. England need confidence, Australia is puffing the chest, but would love to play from in front. Huge advantage to whoever bats first.
I’ve just dribbled about batting deciding the game, but the two keys for me are Jimmy Anderson and Graeme Swann. Both were ineffective in the first Test. Reverse swing and turn could negate Australia’s middle/lower order, including Haddin and Johnson, who were the difference in creating breathing space in the first innings up north.
Yep, no idea.
Looking forward to it.